Unless proven otherwise, I believe the current administration has mostly good people working their butts off to fight COVID-19.  Unfortunately, I also believe their poor COVID-19 handling has been leading to large human life and economic losses. Here is why: 1. Vaccination They have done a good job in administering vaccines, but their stubborn stance on double-dose will eventually have caused extra loss of 50-100K lives. The purple line would probably be the mortality rate if the US had done the same as the UK by doing single-dose. Crude estimates show that 2M doses applied to 2M 65+ people with the single-dose scheme save 644 lives while 2M doses applied to 1M 65+ people with the double-dose scheme save 336 lives assuming 10% of them are infected.  Single-dose first also almost double the speed in achieving herd immunity.  Therefore, the UK’s mortality rate dropped rapidly.  The CDC either has or can easily collect the data of reinfection. Chances are the mo...

 The current hospitalization is the most reliable indicator of Covid-19 infection. The following is the ranking of all the states.  (Data source: The COVID Tracking Project ) Rank State Currently-Hospitalized(/M) 1 HI 50 2 AK 57 3 ND 64 4 OR 78 5 MN 85 6 PR 92 7 VT 99 8 MT 107 9 WA 108 10 WY 111 11 CO 122 12 WI 122 13 IA 124 14 ME 127 15 ID 135 16 MI 154 17 NH 163 18 UT 167 19 NE 177 20 SD 182 21 IL 221 22 KS 223 23 OH 242 24 NM 265 25 MD 271 26 MA 272 27 CT 279 28 IN 284 29 PA 288 30 TN 294 31 WV 301 32 FL 306 33 NC 309 34 MO 311 35 OK 316 36 RI 316 37 VA 317 38 AR 330 39 DE 342 40 LA 342 41 KY 349 42 NJ 351 43 MS 356 44 DC 361 45 SC 405 46 AL 419 47 TX 427 48 NV 429 49 CA 434 50 NY 438 51 GA 466 52 AZ 562

COVID-19 has negative impacts on both human lives and the economy. The best single indicator for the latter is the GDP and the one for the former is the excess of deaths that is more objective than COVID fatalities that may include deaths for which COVID is not the primary cause and exclude deaths as a result of COVID's secondary effect. The CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) have large delays that vary among different jurisdictions. The US deaths in 2020 will likely be more than 10% higher than in 2019. The vast majority of excess deaths caused by COVID-19 are from the elderly. For example, the average age of COVID deaths is 80 in Massachusetts. Comorbidities are the most important factor determining the outcome of a COVID patient. In Massachusetts, 98.2% of COVID deaths are from people with comorbidities. The coronavirus is effectively like a death accelerator for people with illnesses. If a person is expected to live no longer than 2 or 3 years, he will likely...