Biden administration's costly illusion about China

The free world has paid and will continue to pay heavy prices for the current US administration's illusion about the PRC.

Two of many examples:

1. The current Rashist slaughter in UA would have had a good chance to be prevented if the US had not acted based on the illusion. The administration begged the PRC for months with US intel about Putin's planned invasion. The PRC passed the information to Moscow to confirm the weakness and fear of the US to affirm Putin's confidence in the victory of the invasion.  The US could have prevented the slaughter by rapidly ramping up lethal weapon aid to Ukraine. The slaughter will cost the free world at least hundreds of billions of dollars in the end.


2. The pledge to ban AI weapons could cost the US astronomically, or even threaten its existence. There is ABSOLUTELY ZERO chance for the CCP to abide by it.

Marines and the relatively small Space Force are the only two out of the five military branches that meet their recruiting goals. I doubt the situation will get any better as long as the administration keeps pushing up the priorities of DEI and climate change in the military.

The US spends $136B on the compensation for service-connected disabilities alone. "In 2023, there is an estimated 14,873,966 disabled veterans, which is roughly 80% of the total veteran population.". It is increasingly expensive to have humans serving in the US military. 

The US still maintains the edge of innovation. More automated intelligent weapons and fewer human soldiers are the way to address this human resource issue.

After constraining Ukraine to give Rashists the asymmetric advantage - Rashists can freely strike anywhere in Ukraine while Ukraine is prohibited from using US weapons to strike back, the US administration handcuffs itself in AI to offer the PRC a significant advantage.

Again, the current administration's chronic illusion about the PRC regime is an existential threat to the US.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Google's Local Guides program's policy enforcement is the worst

Image
Google's Local Guides program's policy enforcement is unbelievably bad. It is despicable. Here is what it does things sometimes: Publishes a review initially, then rejects it later without notifying the reviewer. Suspends the reviewer's Local Guides account because of the above rejected reviews without notifying the reviewer. They do this to users who have made thousands of contributions over the years benefiting millions of Google Maps users. Continues to allow a suspended account  The review rejections are done by their flawed AI. Reposting the review without any changes will get approved often.  Notifies a reviewer of a rejection without giving a specific reason. This is the worst part.  It seems that one may get these punishments by posting multiple reviews quickly. I have not seen any online policy enforcement nearly as bad as Google Local Guides'. Bing Maps is worth trying. For reviews, Tripadvisor may be a better place. My journey of  Local Guides: I have made ov
Read more

PRC COVID mortality estimate: 3M - 5M

Image
Summary PRC COVID-induced excess deaths: Absolute minimum requiring a miracle: 1 M Likely minimum: 2.5 M Likely range: 3 M - 5 M How I derived these numbers: First, if you doubt the current high COVID fatalities based on anecdotes instead of official data, let's think in this way. People are paying what is equivalent to 2 - 3 months' salary to avoid unpredictable long waits at Beijing crematoria, so long waiting lines are common. Beijing has 12 crematoria and many more in its vicinity. If people could drive 100km or more to have timely cremation, they would not spend so much money to save the 1 or 2 hours of transportation.  If Beijing with the best healthcare resources has such a high fatality rate, you can imagine the fatality rates of other places. It is fair to compare the PRC with other East Asian countries. Japan, S. Korea, and TW are exemplary - high vigilance, high vax rates, and orderly opening, so they have much lower excess death rates than most other countries. If t
Read more

Thoughts on the Rashist slaughter in Ukraine

Image
I started to write down these thoughts in February 2023 before my second trip to Ukraine, paused for many months, picked it up intermittently in the summer, and finally finished on Saturday, September 23, 2023. I will not edit this post because I want to come back to it to see how my views will change or remain in the future. It has been a long and brutal 19 months since the Moscow KGB thug launched the slaughter in Ukraine.  My views on this war are simple and straightforward, not much different from freedom lovers who stand with free people fighting for their freedom. I wanted to provide some background. I have some slight differences from others that make me treat certain things slightly differently. Why I support the Ukrainians' fight for their freedom I firmly support people fighting for their freedom regardless of their political leaning (left, right, or center), race, or religion (Buddhists in Tibet, Christians in Ukraine, Muslims in Xinjiang, Iran, and Afghanistan). To me,
Read more